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Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Yes Bank - 4QFY2011 Results Flash


Yes Bank announced its 4QFY2011 results today, registering strong net profit growth of 45.2% yoy (6.4% qoq) Rs203cr, better than our estimate of Rs181cr mainly on account of higher other income and robust advances growth. Both Advances and Deposits grew by robust 54.8% yoy (10.5% qoq) and 71.4% yoy (16.4% qoq), respectively compared to industry advances growth of 21.4% yoy (4.7% qoq) and deposits growth of 15.8% yoy (5.0% qoq). CASA deposits increased by 68.6% yoy (17.6% qoq). However CASA ratio declined by 20bp yoy to 10.3%.  Given the recent rise in interest rates and the bank’s wholesale-based funding mix, its cost of funds increased by 70bp qoq.  Reported NIMs remained flat at 2.8% sequentially. Non-interest income grew at a moderate rate of 16.6% yoy. Operating profit increased by 35.4% yoy. The cost-to-income ratio during the quarter improved to 34.8% from 35.8% in 3QFY2011 and 36.3% in 4QFY2010. Asset quality of the bank improved with Net NPAs declining by 47.4% sequentially. Gross NPA and Net NPA ratio for the quarter came in at 0.23% and 0.03%, respectively. Provision coverage ratio (excluding technical write-offs) improved to 88.6% from 76.1% in 3QFY2011. The bank’s CAR stood at 16.5% with Tier- I CAR at 9.7%.
Currently the stock is trading at 2.1x FY2013E ABV. We maintain an Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs351.
Exhibit 1: 4QFY2011 Actual vs. Estimates
(Rs cr)
Actual
Estimates
Var (%)
Net interest income
349
329
6.1
Non-interest income
187
165
13.3
Operating income
535
493
8.5
Operating expenses
186
182
2.3
Pre-prov. profit
349
311
12.1
Provisions & contingencies
43
30
44.3
PBT
306
281
8.6
Prov. for taxes
102
100
1.9
PAT
203
181
12.3
  Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 2: 4QFY2011 Performance summary
(Rs cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg (qoq)
4QFY2010
% chg  (yoy)
Interest earned
1,223
1,126
8.6
665
84.0
Interest expenses
874
803
8.9
420
107.9
Net interest income
349
323
7.8
244
42.7
Non-interest income
187
162
15.5
160
16.6
Operating income
535
485
10.4
404
32.4
Operating expenses
186
174
7.4
147
27.1
Pre-prov. profit
349
311
12.1
258
35.4
Provisions & contingencies
43
25
73.4
43
1.6
PBT
306
286
6.7
215
42.1
Prov. for taxes
102
95
7.3
75
36.2
PAT
203
191
6.4
140
45.2
EPS (Rs)
5.9
5.5
5.8
4.1
42.1
Cost-to-income ratio (%)
34.8
35.8

36.3

Effective tax rate (%)
33.4
33.2

34.9

Net NPA (%)
0.0
0.1

0.1

Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Trends in NPAs
Particulars
4QFY11
3QFY11
2QFY11
1QFY11
4QFY10
3QFY10
2QFY10
1QFY10
Gross NPAs (Rs cr)
81
73
68
60
60
54
50
61
Net NPAs (Rs cr)
9
17
17
11
13
16
13
30
Gross NPAs (%)
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
Net NPAs (%)
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
NPA coverage (%)
88.6
76.1
74.7
81.4
78.4
70.1
74.9
50.5
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: NPA coverage excluding technical write-offs

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