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Friday, April 29, 2011

Dena Bank - 4QFY2011 Results Flash

Dena Bank announced its 4QFY2011 results today, registering moderate net profit growth of 14.5% yoy and marginal 1.2% qoq to Rs157cr,  inline with our estimates of Rs156cr. However other income growth was stronger than estimated which was offset by higher provisioning costs.
Key highlights:
·         Business growth momentum was strong with advances and deposits growth of 8.2% qoq and 6.2% qoq, respectively. On a yoy basis, advances and deposits grew by 26.4% and 25.1%, respectively.
·         NII grew by a healthy 44.5% yoy to Rs471cr. However on a sequential basis, NII growth was muted at 1% due sequential decline in calculated NIMs of ~20bp. Non-interest income growth was strong sequentially, registering a growth of 42.3% qoq.
·         Operating expenses increased by 39.8% yoy driven by a 55.9% yoy jump in employee expenses. During FY2011, the bank made provision for enhancement in gratuity limits of Rs16cr (1/5th of total liability of Rs80cr). It also took a hit of Rs71cr towards additional liability for serving employees under the second pension option and Rs118cr towards liability for retired employees. Balance liability carried forward for gratuity stands at Rs64cr and for Pension at Rs283cr. As a result of faster growth in operating expenses compared to operating income the cost-to-income ratio of the bank increased to 47.4% from 44.1% in 4QFY2010.
·         The asset quality of the bank deteriorated a bit during 4QFY2011 with the absolute Gross NPAs increasing by 4.8% qoq and Net NPAs rising by 5.7% qoq. Gross and Net NPA ratios remained sequentially stable at 1.9% and 1.2%, respectively. The provision coverage ratio stood at 74.6% (76.1% in 3QFY2011) including technical write-offs. Provisioning expenses were substantially higher, rising by 44.5% qoq and 50.2% yoy to Rs124cr (at ~0.7% of average assets vs ~0.4% of average assets during 9MFY2011)
·         The bank’s CAR improved to 13.4% on the back of capital infusion by the government.
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 0.8x FY2013E ABV. We maintain our Accumulate recommendation on the stock with a Target Price of Rs120. We may revise our estimates post interaction with the management.
Exhibit 1: 4QFY2011 Actual vs. Estimates
(Rs cr)
Actual
Estimates
Var (%)
Net interest income
471
472
(0.2)
Non-interest income
181
147
23.1
Operating income
652
619
5.3
Operating expenses
309
291
6.1
Pre-prov. profit
343
328
4.6
Provisions & contingencies
124
93
33.8
PBT
219
235
(6.8)
Prov. for taxes
62
79
(21.3)
PAT
157
156
0.5
  Source: Company, Angel Research


Exhibit 2: 4QFY2011 Performance summary
(Rs cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg (qoq)
4QFY2010
% chg  (yoy)
Interest earned
1,407
1,290
9.1
1,063
32.4
Interest expenses
936
823
13.7
737
27.0
Net interest income
471
466
1.0
326
44.5
Non-interest income
181
127
42.3
175
3.4
Operating income
652
593
9.9
501
30.1
Operating expenses
309
277
11.5
221
39.8
Pre-prov. profit
343
316
8.4
280
22.5
Provisions & contingencies
124
86
44.5
82
50.2
PBT
219
231
(5.0)
198
10.9
Prov. for taxes
62
76
(17.5)
61
2.8
PAT
157
155
1.2
137
14.5
EPS (Rs)
5.5
5.4
0.9
4.8
14.3
Cost-to-income ratio (%)
47.4
46.7

44.1

Effective tax rate (%)
28.4
32.7

30.7

Net NPA (%)
1.2
1.3

1.2

Source: Company, Angel Research

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