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Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Result Flash on Indoco Remedies for 4QFY2011



4QFY2011 Financials Snapshot   

Y/E March (` cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg (qoq)
4QFY2010
% chg (yoy)
Net sales
120
114
5.4
109
10.6
Other operating income
1
1
0.0
2
(23.7)
Gross profit
67
63
6.2
57
17.4
Operating profit
16
13
16.9
11
40.9
Net profit
12
9
37.9
8
47.8

4QFY2011 Financials Actual V/s Estimates

`cr
Actual
Estimate
Variation
Net sales
120
118
1.9
Other operating income
1
1
0.0
Operating profit
16
20
(24.0)
Tax
2
3
(34.6)
Net profit
12
12
(2.4)

4QFY2011 Financial Result Highlights-  

 Y/E March (`cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg (qoq)
4QFY2010
% chg (yoy)
FY2011
FY2010
% chg (yoy)
Net sales
120
114
5.4
109
10.6
478
398
20.1
Other income
1
1
0.0
2
(23.7)
8
5
0.6
Total income
122
116
5.3
110

486
403
20.6
Gross profit
67
63
6.2
57
17.4
265
224
18.4
Gross margins (%)
55.8
55.4

52.6

55.5
56.3

Operating profit
15.6
13.3
16.9
11.0
40.9
64.5
53.2
21.1
OPM (%)
12.9
11.6

10.1

13.5
13.4

Interest
1
1
6.8
1
(12.5)
2
3
(17.5)
Dep & amortisation
3
3
2.0
3
3.3
13
12
11.3
PBT
11
9
23.0
7
64.8
49
38
27.2
Provision for taxation
1.7
1.7
0.6
0.3
486.2
5.5
1.1
398.2
Reported Net profit
11
9
24.2
8
33.0
51
42
21.3
Less : Exceptional items
0
0
-
0

0
0

PAT after exceptional items
12
9
37.9
8
47.8
51
42
21.3
EPS (`)
9.9
7.2

6.7

41.5
34.3


4QFY2011 Financial Performance:

·         The Company has reported net sales of `120.4cr (`108.9cr), up by 10.6% yoy in-line with our estimates of `118.2cr for the quarter. The domestic formulations segment remained flat during the quarter contributing 60% of the total sales. The formulations exports grew by 27.8% in 4QFY2011 with 34% and 6.9% growth across the regulated and non regulated markets respectively.  For the full year the net sales came in at `478.5cr (`398.5cr), increase of 20.1%.

·         The Gross margins increased to 55.8% (52.6%) during 4QFY2011, although lower than our estimates of 62.5%. For the full year, the gross margins stood at 55.5%.   

·         The OPM for the quarter stood at 12.9% as compared to 10.1% in the same period last year. The Ebidta margins for the full year stand at 13.5% (13.4%) inclusive of the R&D expenses.

·         The Net profit increased by 47.8% to `12.2cr (`8.2cr) in line with our estimates of `12.5cr.

The stock is currently trading at 8.2x FY2012E and 7.1x FY2012E earnings. We currently have a Buy rating on the stock with the Target price of `622.

Valuation Summary





Y/E March (`cr)
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011E
FY2012E
FY2013E
Net sales
350.7
398.3
478.5
589.6
746.1
% chg
33.5
13.6
20.1
23.2
26.6
Net profit
31.5
42.0
49.6
66.5
76.5
% chg
4.5
33.5
18.0
34.1
15.1
EPS (`)
25.6
34.3
40.4
     54.1
     62.3
EBITDA margin (%)
13.2
13.3
15.0
17.1
17.5
P/E (x)
17.2
12.9
10.9
8.2
7.1
RoE (%)
11.8
14.3
15.3
18.2
18.2
RoCE (%)
10.5
10.8
12.9
16.9
19.1
P/BV (x)
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.2
EV/Sales (x)
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.1
0.9
EV/EBITDA (x)
12.3
10.8
8.7
6.3
5.0

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